2011 Oscars: Will Win/Should Win

In two days, the stars will convene at Hollywood's Kodak Theater for the 2011 Academy Awards. With no further ado, here are my picks for who I think will win and who I think should win, as well as my picks for which nominees are overrated and which films got unfairly overlooked:

BEST PICTURE

Will Win: "The King's Speech"
Should Win: "Black Swan"
Overrated: "Inception"
Overlooked: "The Ghost Writer"; "Please Give"; "Greenberg"; "The Town"

BEST ACTRESS

Will Win: Natalie Portman, "Black Swan"
Should Win: Natalie Portman, "Black Swan"
Overrated: none
Overlooked: Catherine Keener, "Please Give"

BEST ACTOR

Will Win: Colin Firth, "The KIng's Speech"
Should Win: Jeff Bridges, "True Grit"
Overrated: none
Overlooked: Ewan McGregor, "The Ghost Writer"

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Will Win: Hailee Steinberg, "True Grit"
Should Win: Amy Adams, "The Fighter"
Overrated: Helena Bonham Carter, "The King's Speech"
Overlooked: Mila Kunis, "Black Swan"

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Will Win: Christian Bale, "The Fighter"
Should Win: Christian Bale, "The Fighter"
Overrated: none
Overlooked: Justin Timberlake, "The Social Network"

BEST DIRECTOR

Will Win: Tom Hooper, "The King's Speech"
Should Win: Darren Aronofsky, "Black Swan"
Overrated: none
Overlooked: Roman Polanski, "The Ghost Writer"

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Will Win: "The Social Network"
Should Win: "Toy Story 3"

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Will Win: "The King's Speech"
Should Win: "The Fighter"